One-glance verdict
$8.01 our estimate vs market $2.29
Wall Street consensus: $4.13 (-48.4% lower than our fair-value estimate)
71% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
KLC · NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Current price
$2.29
52-week range
$1.75 - $7.10
Market cap
$271.40M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $4.13 (-48.4% lower than our fair-value estimate)
71% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $2.34B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
KinderCare is one of the nation's largest providers of early education and daycare, operating centers like KinderCare and Champions after-school programs. The company makes money primarily from tuition fees paid by families, which creates a steady flow of recurring revenue (income that is predictable and likely to continue in the future). Because reliable childcare is an essential service for many working parents, the company serves a market with constant demand.
KinderCare was founded in 1969 by a real estate developer who saw a growing need for child care as more women entered the workforce. The company grew quickly, opening centers across the country and acquiring smaller competitors. After facing financial difficulties and filing for bankruptcy in the early 1990s, the company was acquired by a series of private investment firms. These changes led to a new focus on quality and a period of steady growth, eventually leading to the company becoming publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange.
KinderCare provides early childhood education and care for children from six weeks to 12 years old. Think of them as a large, professionally managed network of daycare centers and before- and after-school programs. Parents pay tuition for their children to attend these programs, which offer structured learning and play in a safe environment. The company operates under a few different brand names and also partners with employers to offer child care benefits to their workers.
This is the company's main and largest business, making up the vast majority of its revenue (the money it brings in from sales). These are the neighborhood learning centers that most people recognize, providing daycare and early education for infants, toddlers, and preschoolers. Parents pay tuition, usually on a monthly basis, for their children's enrollment. The Crème de la Crème brand is a more premium version of these centers, offering enhanced facilities and a wider variety of enrichment programs.
The Champions brand offers before- and after-school programs, as well as summer camps, for school-aged children, typically located right at elementary schools. This is a smaller but important part of the business that partners directly with school districts. Instead of just providing supervision, these programs focus on homework help, STEM activities, and other enrichment to complement the school day. Parents pay for these programs to ensure their children are in a safe and productive environment outside of regular school hours.
This part of the business, also known as KinderCare at Work, partners with companies to offer child care as a workplace benefit. This can include building and running a child care center on-site or near a company's office, or providing employees with discounted tuition at nearby KinderCare centers. Companies pay for these services to help them attract and keep good employees by making child care more accessible and affordable for their workforce. This segment also provides back-up care, which is an emergency child care service for employees when their regular arrangements fall through.
The company's current strategy focuses on filling more of the available spots in its existing centers to increase profitability. They are also focused on growing their employer-sponsored child care business, as more companies are looking to offer this benefit to their employees. Additionally, KinderCare is expanding its Champions before- and after-school programs by partnering with more school districts. Management is also investing in technology to make enrollment easier for parents and to manage their centers more efficiently.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $4.13 (-48.4% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $8.01 a share — about 249.7% above today's price of $2.29, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $2.3B. Interest coverage 2.2x.
KinderCare Learning Companies, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 2.2 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $2.51B Interest coverage 2.19x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $2.05B Interest coverage 7.03x +221% vs KLC Carries about 3.2x more debt cushion than KLC.
Total debt $545.98M Interest coverage 38.27x +1,647% vs KLC Carries about 17.5x more debt cushion than KLC.
Total debt $113.77M Interest coverage 34.88x +1,492% vs KLC Carries about 15.9x more debt cushion than KLC.
Total debt $153.47M Interest coverage 12.73x +481% vs KLC Carries about 5.8x more debt cushion than KLC.
Total debt $228.10M Interest coverage 8.54x +290% vs KLC Carries about 3.9x more debt cushion than KLC.
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