One-glance verdict
$9.08 our estimate vs market $43.59
Wall Street consensus: $93.44 (929.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
380% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
KTOS · NMS · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Current price
$43.59
52-week range
$36.37 - $134.00
Market cap
$8.21B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $93.44 (929.2% higher than our fair-value estimate)
380% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net cash $1.24B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions builds advanced technology like drones and satellite systems for government agencies and commercial clients, with most of its money coming from defense contracts. This matters because it shows the company is a key player in a specialized, often long-term market, where its products are crucial for national security and space exploration.
"How the company got here" "Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. was founded in 1994 as Wireless Facilities, Inc., initially focusing on building and supporting telecommunications networks. In the early 2000s, under new leadership, the company shifted its strategic direction to prioritize providing services to the U.S. government, particularly the Department of Defense. This pivot was largely achieved through a series of acquisitions of smaller companies specializing in federal services and defense-oriented technologies between 2004 and 2009. In 2007, the company officially changed its name to Kratos Defense & Security Solutions to reflect its new focus. A significant expansion occurred in 2011 with the merger with Integral Systems, which broadened Kratos' capabilities in satellite and aerospace data management." "What it actually does" "Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. is a technology company that develops and provides advanced products, systems, and software primarily for the defense and national security markets. They focus on creating affordable, high-performance technology solutions that can be developed and fielded quickly. Their offerings include a range of products such as unmanned aerial systems (drones), hypersonic vehicles, missile systems, radar electronics, satellite ground systems, and training solutions. Kratos serves the U.S. Department of Defense, other federal agencies, allied governments, and some commercial clients." "Kratos Government Solutions" "The Kratos Government Solutions (KGS) segment is the larger of Kratos' two main business divisions. This segment encompasses a broad array of offerings, including microwave electronic products, which are components used in systems like radar and missiles. It also includes space and satellite systems, providing ground systems and software for managing satellite data. Additionally, KGS offers training solutions, often utilizing virtual and augmented reality to prepare military personnel, and cybersecurity services. This segment also covers C5ISR (Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Cyber, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance) systems, which are crucial for military operations, as well as turbine technologies and various defense and rocket support services." "Unmanned Systems" "The Unmanned Systems segment is a key growth area for Kratos, focusing on the development and production of various types of unmanned vehicles. This includes jet-powered unmanned aerial drone systems, often referred to as UAVs (Unmanned Aerial Vehicles), such as the XQ-58A Valkyrie, which are designed for tactical missions and as aerial targets. The segment also encompasses unmanned ground and seaborne systems, along with the associated command, control, and communications systems necessary to operate these platforms. Kratos is a recognized leader in this field, emphasizing affordable, high-performance unmanned platforms that can be rapidly deployed." "What management is betting on now" "Kratos' management is focused on aggressively reinvesting the company's earnings back into research and development to be first-to-market with advanced defense technologies. Their strategy centers on developing and producing affordable systems in large quantities, rather than engaging in stock buybacks or paying dividends. Key areas of investment include unmanned systems, hypersonics, propulsion systems, space technologies, and defense electronics. The company aims to reduce risk and cost by using proven, leading-edge technologies and by vertically integrating parts of its supply chain to ensure resilience. Management believes this approach strengthens the U.S. defense industrial base and ensures critical capabilities are available quickly to meet evolving national security needs."
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $93.44 (929.2% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $9.08 a share — about 79.2% below today's price of $43.59, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $1.2B - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 2.9x.
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 2.9 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 2 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $193.60M Interest coverage 2.89x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $850.82M Interest coverage -12.52x -100% vs KTOS This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with KTOS.
Total debt $175.00M Interest coverage 43.50x +1,408% vs KTOS Carries about 15.1x more debt cushion than KTOS.
Total debt $502.88M Interest coverage 0.25x -91% vs KTOS Carries about 11.4x less debt cushion than KTOS.
Total debt $1.54B Interest coverage 8.10x +181% vs KTOS Carries about 2.8x more debt cushion than KTOS.
Total debt $4.21B Interest coverage 7.94x +175% vs KTOS Carries about 2.8x more debt cushion than KTOS.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
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Cash flow
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Debt comparison
What you should know