One-glance verdict
$40.16 our estimate vs market $42.88
Wall Street consensus: $45.00 (12.0% higher than our fair-value estimate)
7% above our estimate
Fundamentals snapshot
LTC · NYQ · Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Current price
$42.88
52-week range
$33.64 - $43.60
Market cap
$2.31B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $45.00 (12.0% higher than our fair-value estimate)
7% above our estimate
Balance sheet
Net debt $739.06M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
LTC Properties is a real estate investment trust (a company that owns income-generating properties) that owns senior housing and nursing home buildings across the United States. The company makes money by leasing its nearly 190 properties to healthcare providers, often through rental agreements where the tenant is responsible for paying most building expenses like taxes and maintenance. This provides LTC with a predictable stream of income from the growing long-term need for senior care.
LTC Properties was founded in 1992 as a specialized real estate investment trust, or REIT (a company that owns and often operates income-producing real estate). From the beginning, it focused on providing money and properties for the long-term care industry, like seniors housing and nursing homes. Over the years, it built its business by leasing properties to the companies that run these facilities and by providing loans. The company's main goal has always been to generate steady cash flow to pay monthly dividends (a share of the company's profits) to its stockholders.
Think of LTC Properties as a landlord and bank for the senior care industry. It owns nearly 200 senior housing and skilled nursing properties across the United States. Instead of running these facilities itself, LTC rents them out to other companies, called operators, who manage the day-to-day care of residents. LTC also acts like a bank by providing different types of loans and financing to these same operators so they can run and grow their businesses.
A large part of LTC's business involves a specific type of rental agreement called a triple-net lease. With this kind of lease, the tenant (the company operating the senior care facility) is responsible for paying not just the rent, but also the property taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs. This arrangement provides LTC with a very predictable and stable income stream, as many of the variable costs of owning a building are passed on to the tenant. This has traditionally been the core of LTC's business, providing steady, long-term rental income.
This is a newer and rapidly growing part of LTC's business. Instead of a simple triple-net lease, in the SHOP model, LTC has more direct participation in the financial performance of the properties. While it still partners with an operator to manage the facility, LTC's income is tied more closely to the actual revenue and expenses of the senior housing community. This means LTC can make more money when the properties do well, but it also takes on more risk if they struggle. This segment is focused on newer, private-pay senior housing communities.
Besides owning properties, LTC also provides money to healthcare operators in other ways. This includes making mortgage loans, where LTC lends money to an operator to buy a property and earns interest income from the loan payments. It also engages in other structured finance solutions, which are more complex financial arrangements like providing preferred equity (an investment that has priority for getting paid back) or joint ventures (partnering with another company on a specific project). These financing activities provide another stream of interest-based income for the company.
Management is making a big push to grow its Seniors Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP). The company is actively buying more senior housing properties to operate under this model and selling off some of its older skilled nursing facilities. This strategy aims to create a higher-growth business by focusing on newer properties and having more direct exposure to the financial upside of well-run communities. They are betting that this shift will reduce their reliance on skilled nursing facilities, which are more dependent on government funding, and increase the overall quality and growth potential of their portfolio.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $45.00 (12.0% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $40.16 a share — about 6.3% away from today's price of $42.88, so the stock currently looks fairly priced.
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $739.1M. Interest coverage 3.5x.
LTC Properties, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 3.5 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $779.49M Interest coverage 3.53x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $4.03B Interest coverage 3.46x -2% vs LTC Has roughly the same debt cushion as LTC.
Total debt $2.63B Interest coverage 2.35x -33% vs LTC Carries about 1.5x less debt cushion than LTC.
Total debt $1.28B Interest coverage 3.53x +0% vs LTC Has roughly the same debt cushion as LTC.
Total debt $1.21B Interest coverage 4.91x +39% vs LTC Carries about 1.4x more debt cushion than LTC.
Total debt $12.92B Interest coverage 1.40x -60% vs LTC Carries about 2.5x less debt cushion than LTC.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know