One-glance verdict
$40.18 our estimate vs market $22.08
Wall Street consensus: $23.15 (-42.4% lower than our fair-value estimate)
45% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
M · NYQ · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores
Current price
$22.08
52-week range
$16.41 - $26.59
Market cap
$5.77B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $23.15 (-42.4% lower than our fair-value estimate)
45% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $3.79B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Macy's is a large department store chain selling clothing, makeup, and home goods through its well-known brands like Macy's and Bloomingdale's. The company makes money from these sales in its physical stores and online, so its success depends on attracting enough customers to cover the high costs of running its big retail locations.
Macy's started in 1858 as a single dry goods store in New York City opened by Rowland H. Macy. It grew over many decades by acquiring other regional department stores across the country. A major turning point came in 1994 when it was acquired by a rival, Federated Department Stores, which also owned Bloomingdale's, creating the nation's largest department store company. In 2007, the parent company renamed itself Macy's, Inc., solidifying the brand's central role. Facing challenges from online shopping, the company is now focused on a major overhaul to modernize its operations and focus on its most successful stores and brands.
Macy's is an omni-channel retailer, which means it sells things to customers in physical stores, on websites, and through mobile apps. Most people know it as a department store that sells a wide variety of items you'd use every day. This includes clothing and accessories for men, women, and children, as well as cosmetics, home furnishings, and other consumer goods. The company operates under a few different brand names that you might recognize: Macy's, Bloomingdale's, and Bluemercury.
This is the company's main and largest brand, making up the vast majority of its business. These are the large department stores you see in malls and cities, selling a wide range of products like clothing, shoes, jewelry, makeup, and housewares. Customers are everyday shoppers and families looking for a variety of well-known brands at different price points. This segment also includes sales from the Macy's website and app, which are a crucial part of how the company reaches its customers.
Bloomingdale's is the company's upscale department store, targeting customers looking for luxury and high-end brands. It offers more expensive and designer clothing, handbags, and home goods than a typical Macy's store. Think of it as a more premium shopping experience, which has been performing well and is a key area of growth for the company. While much smaller than the Macy's brand, it represents an important and profitable piece of the overall business.
This is a smaller, separate chain of stores focused entirely on high-end beauty products. It sells luxury skincare, makeup, and fragrances, often in smaller neighborhood locations rather than big malls. Bluemercury competes with stores like Sephora and Ulta by offering a more curated (carefully chosen) selection and personalized advice from beauty experts. It's a small but fast-growing part of Macy's, Inc., and the company plans to open many new locations.
The company's current strategy is called "A Bold New Chapter," which focuses on modernizing the business to return to growth. A major part of this plan is to strengthen the main Macy's brand by closing about 150 less productive stores and investing heavily in its remaining 350 locations and its online presence. At the same time, management is accelerating the growth of its luxury businesses, planning to open dozens of new, smaller-footprint Bloomingdale's and Bluemercury stores. They are also working to simplify their supply chain (the system of getting products from the manufacturer to the store shelf) and use technology like artificial intelligence to better plan what products to sell and manage their inventory (the goods they have on hand).
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $23.15 (-42.4% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $40.18 a share — about 82.0% above today's price of $22.08, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $3.8B. Interest coverage 9.1x.
Macy's, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 9.1 times over.
Total debt $5.09B Interest coverage 9.11x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $6.42B Interest coverage 1.77x -81% vs M Carries about 5.1x less debt cushion than M.
Total debt $456.84M Interest coverage 16.78x +84% vs M Carries about 1.8x more debt cushion than M.
Total debt $4.74B Interest coverage 71.36x +683% vs M Carries about 7.8x more debt cushion than M.
Total debt $14.32B Interest coverage 97.00x +964% vs M Carries about 10.6x more debt cushion than M.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know