One-glance verdict
$1,251.65 our estimate vs market $656.60
Wall Street consensus: $545.67 (-56.4% lower than our fair-value estimate)
48% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
DDS · TEX · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores
Current price
$656.60
52-week range
$503.06 - $741.98
Market cap
$10.26B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $545.67 (-56.4% lower than our fair-value estimate)
48% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $803.94M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Dillard's is a department store chain, mostly in the southern and midwestern US, selling clothes, makeup, and home goods both in its physical stores and online. The company's profits mainly come from selling these items, and how much money is left after covering the costs of selling them (this is called the operating margin) is important for understanding how well the business is doing. They also do some store construction, but that's a smaller part of their business.
Dillard's began in 1938 with a single store in Nashville, Arkansas, founded by William Dillard. He started with a borrowed $8,000 and a vision for offering national brand merchandise at attractive prices, coupled with customer credit. The company grew steadily, expanding through acquisitions of other department stores and establishing itself as an anchor in suburban shopping malls throughout the 1970s and 1980s. Dillard's went public in 1969, allowing for further expansion and investment. The company has since evolved, embracing e-commerce and an omnichannel approach to create a seamless shopping experience across both digital and physical stores, while maintaining a focus on curated, higher-quality brands.
Dillard's operates as a retail department store chain, offering a wide array of products for men, women, and children. This includes fashion apparel, shoes, cosmetics, accessories, and home furnishings. They sell these items through their physical stores, which are primarily located in shopping malls across the U.S., and also through their online store, dillards.com. Dillard's also operates clearance centers to sell off merchandise from prior seasons at reduced prices.
This is the main way Dillard's makes money, accounting for the vast majority of its revenue. Through its retail operations, the company sells a broad selection of merchandise. This includes fashion apparel for women, men, and children, as well as shoes, accessories like handbags and jewelry, and home furnishings such as bedding and decor. They also sell cosmetics and fragrances. Dillard's offers a mix of well-known national brands and its own private-label brands, aiming to provide a differentiated assortment to its customers.
Dillard's also has a smaller business segment focused on construction. This segment primarily handles general contracting and construction activities, such as building and remodeling stores for Dillard's itself. While not as significant financially as the retail operations, this in-house capability provides Dillard's with more control over its store development and maintenance.
Dillard's management is focused on a strategy that emphasizes profitability and disciplined operations rather than aggressive growth. Key priorities include maintaining strong control over inventory and managing markdowns effectively to protect merchandise margins. They are also selectively investing in their store base, both by opening new locations and remodeling existing ones, to enhance the overall shopping experience. Furthermore, Dillard's is strengthening its online presence and integrating it with its physical stores to create a seamless omnichannel experience for customers.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $545.67 (-56.4% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $1,251.65 a share — about 90.6% above today's price of $656.60, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $803.9M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 16.8x.
Dillard's, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 16.8 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $456.84M Interest coverage 16.78x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $5.09B Interest coverage 9.11x -46% vs DDS Carries about 1.8x less debt cushion than DDS.
Total debt $6.42B Interest coverage 1.77x -89% vs DDS Carries about 9.5x less debt cushion than DDS.
Total debt $5.91B Interest coverage 11.89x -29% vs DDS Carries about 1.4x less debt cushion than DDS.
Total debt $14.32B Interest coverage 97.00x +478% vs DDS Carries about 5.8x more debt cushion than DDS.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know