One-glance verdict
$274.50 our estimate vs market $188.35
Wall Street consensus: $205.24 (-25.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
31% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
MRSH · NYQ · Financial Services · Insurance Brokers
Current price
$188.35
52-week range
$156.60 - $198.49
Market cap
$89.88B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $205.24 (-25.2% lower than our fair-value estimate)
31% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $20.49B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Marsh & McLennan acts as a massive insurance and consulting expert for other companies, helping them navigate risks and plan for their future. The company makes most of its money from fees it earns by connecting businesses with the right insurance policies, creating what's known as recurring revenue (income that is predictable and likely to continue). This is significant because businesses and organizations almost always need insurance and advice, providing a stable source of income for Marsh & McLennan even in uncertain economic times.
Marsh & McLennan started in 1905 when Henry W. Marsh and Donald R. McLennan merged their insurance agencies in Chicago. Over the years, it grew by acquiring other companies, including Guy Carpenter for reinsurance (insurance for insurance companies) in 1923 and Mercer for employee benefits consulting in 1959. The company went public in 1962, selling its stock on the open market for the first time. A major step in its expansion was creating a holding company structure, which means it owns several separate businesses that operate independently. This allowed it to diversify into different areas of professional services, becoming the global firm it is today.
Think of Marsh & McLennan as a team of expert advisors that other businesses hire to solve complex problems related to risk, insurance, and people. They don't sell a physical product you can buy in a store; instead, they provide specialized advice and services. For example, they help large companies get the right insurance coverage, manage their employees' retirement plans, and get expert advice on big business decisions. Essentially, they help other companies navigate uncertainty and operate more smoothly.
This is the company's largest business area, making up well over half of its revenue. It operates mainly through two businesses, Marsh and Guy Carpenter. Marsh acts as an insurance broker (an expert who helps clients find the best insurance) and risk advisor for companies of all sizes, helping them protect against things like property damage, cyber-attacks, and other potential losses. Guy Carpenter provides services to insurance companies themselves, helping them manage their own risks through reinsurance (a way for insurance companies to transfer some of their risk to another insurer).
This segment is a smaller but still significant part of the company, providing expert advice to other businesses. It's made up of two main firms: Mercer and Oliver Wyman. Mercer focuses on "people" issues, helping companies with employee health benefits, retirement plans, and investment advice. Oliver Wyman is a management consulting firm that helps companies with big strategic decisions, like how to improve their operations or enter new markets.
The company is focused on expanding its more specialized advisory services, where clients need deep expertise in complex areas like climate-related risks and cybersecurity. They are also growing by acquiring smaller, regional insurance brokers to increase their reach, particularly in the U.S. market for medium-sized businesses. To make its services more effective, the company is investing heavily in data, analytics, and artificial intelligence (AI) to provide better insights to its clients. Recently, the company announced it will be unifying its various businesses under a single brand name, Marsh, to present a more integrated front to clients.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $205.24 (-25.2% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $274.50 a share — about 45.7% above today's price of $188.35, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $20.5B. Interest coverage 6.5x.
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 6.5 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $22.33B Interest coverage 6.48x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $15.87B Interest coverage 5.78x -11% vs MRSH Has roughly the same debt cushion as MRSH.
Total debt $14.11B Interest coverage 4.00x -38% vs MRSH Carries about 1.6x less debt cushion than MRSH.
Total debt $7.10B Interest coverage 8.68x +34% vs MRSH Carries about 1.3x more debt cushion than MRSH.
Total debt $8.07B Interest coverage 4.91x -24% vs MRSH Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than MRSH.
Total debt $5.66B Interest coverage 3.67x -43% vs MRSH Carries about 1.8x less debt cushion than MRSH.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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Cash flow
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Debt comparison
What you should know