One-glance verdict
$149.19 our estimate vs market $68.08
Wall Street consensus: $75.65 (-49.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
54% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
NTNX · NMS · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Current price
$68.08
52-week range
$34.01 - $82.42
Market cap
$18.40B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $75.65 (-49.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
54% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $842.73M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Nutanix sells software that helps large organizations manage all their computer systems from a single dashboard, whether the computers are in their own building or rented from a cloud service like Amazon or Microsoft. The company primarily makes money from software subscriptions, which generates recurring revenue (income that is expected to continue regularly, much like a streaming service fee). This matters because as companies increasingly mix their own data centers with public cloud services, Nutanix's platform helps them manage that complexity and operate more efficiently.
Nutanix was founded in 2009 to simplify how businesses manage their technology in their own data centers (the computer rooms that power a company's operations). They were a pioneer of what's called hyperconverged infrastructure (a way of combining a company's computing, storage, and networking into one simplified system). After going public in 2016, the company shifted its business model from selling hardware and one-time software licenses to a subscription-based model, where customers pay regularly for access to its software. This change allows for more predictable and recurring revenue (money that comes in consistently from ongoing payments).
Nutanix provides software that helps companies manage their applications and data across different computing environments. Think of it as a universal remote for a company's technology, allowing them to run their systems in their own private data centers, in the public cloud (like Amazon Web Services or Microsoft Azure), or a mix of both, which is called a hybrid cloud. The main goal is to make a company's complex technology infrastructure simpler and easier to manage from a single control panel. This helps businesses run more efficiently, reduce costs, and easily scale their operations up or down as needed.
This is the primary way Nutanix makes money, generating the vast majority of its revenue. Instead of a one-time purchase, customers pay a recurring fee, similar to a Netflix or Spotify subscription, for the right to use Nutanix's software and receive ongoing support and updates. This business model provides Nutanix with a steady and predictable stream of income. Customers subscribe to the Nutanix Cloud Platform and related products to manage their IT infrastructure.
This is a smaller part of Nutanix's business that supports its main software offerings. It includes services like consulting, installation, and training to help customers get the most out of their Nutanix software. For example, a company might hire Nutanix's professional services team to help them plan and execute the move of their applications onto the Nutanix platform. While not the main source of income, these services help ensure customers are successful with the software, which can lead to them renewing or expanding their subscriptions.
Nutanix is heavily focused on becoming the go-to platform for what's called hybrid multicloud, where businesses use a combination of their own data centers and multiple public cloud services. They are also making a big push into the world of Artificial Intelligence (AI), offering tools to help companies manage their AI applications and data. A key part of their strategy is to capitalize on market disruption, particularly from customers looking for alternatives to their competitor, VMware, following its acquisition by Broadcom. Management is also emphasizing partnerships with major cloud providers like Amazon Web Services (AWS) and tech companies like NVIDIA to expand their ecosystem and make their platform more versatile.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $75.65 (-49.3% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $149.19 a share — about 119.1% above today's price of $68.08, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $842.7M - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 20.6x.
Nutanix, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 20.6 times over. which is stronger than every peer shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $1.52B Interest coverage 20.59x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $1.15B Interest coverage -20.05x -100% vs NTNX This peer has almost no interest-payment cushion compared with NTNX.
Total debt $2.73B Interest coverage 15.55x -24% vs NTNX Carries about 1.3x less debt cushion than NTNX.
Total debt $21.30B Interest coverage 14.05x -32% vs NTNX Carries about 1.5x less debt cushion than NTNX.
Total debt $34.47B Interest coverage 5.41x -74% vs NTNX Carries about 3.8x less debt cushion than NTNX.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
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Cash flow
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Debt comparison
What you should know