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Fundamentals snapshot

Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

ORN · NYQ · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Current price

$9.36

52-week range

$7.48 - $17.40

Market cap

$379.04M

One-glance verdict

Overvalued

$-0.12 our estimate vs market $9.36

Wall Street consensus: $15.32 (-13,012.8% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Stretched

1.37x Concerning

Net debt $160.17M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

Orion Group Holdings is a specialty construction company that focuses on two main areas: projects on or near water, like building ports and bridges, and concrete work for large buildings like data centers. It earns money by completing these large-scale government and private jobs, which means its success often depends on spending for major infrastructure (the basic physical systems of a country, like transportation and power) and new commercial construction.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q2 $-19.97M FY2024 Q3 $33.31M FY2024 Q4 $9.92M FY2025 Q1 $-12.48M FY2025 Q2 $-12.69M FY2025 Q3 $13.92M FY2025 Q4 $454.00K FY2026 Q1 $-3.65M
Revenue $216.30M
Net income $4.69M
Diluted EPS 0.12
Operating cash flow $4.92M
Free cash flow $-3.65M
Revenue $233.22M
Net income $-240.00K
Diluted EPS 0.00
Operating cash flow $13.81M
Free cash flow $454.00K
Revenue $225.10M
Net income $3.30M
Diluted EPS 0.08
Operating cash flow $23.27M
Free cash flow $13.92M
Revenue $205.29M
Net income $841.00K
Diluted EPS 0.02
Operating cash flow $-5.56M
Free cash flow $-12.69M
Revenue $188.65M
Net income $-1.41M
Diluted EPS -0.04
Operating cash flow $-3.44M
Free cash flow $-12.48M
Revenue $216.88M
Net income $6.75M
Diluted EPS 0.22
Operating cash flow $13.36M
Free cash flow $9.92M
Revenue $226.68M
Net income $4.26M
Diluted EPS 0.12
Operating cash flow $37.47M
Free cash flow $33.31M
Revenue $192.17M
Net income $-6.60M
Diluted EPS -0.20
Operating cash flow $-15.33M
Free cash flow $-19.97M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $-0.12 vs current price $9.36

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $15.32 (-13,012.8% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $-0.12 a share — about 101.3% below today's price of $9.36, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).

overvalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 8.0% · Discount 9.9% · Terminal 2.5%

$-0.12

Bear

Growth 2.5% · Discount 9.9% · Terminal 2.5%

$-1.12

Bull

Growth 15.0% · Discount 9.9% · Terminal 2.5%

$1.65

Is it drowning in debt?

Stretched

Net debt $160.2M. Interest coverage 1.4x.

Net debt $160.17M
Interest coverage 1.37x

Orion Group Holdings, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 1.4 times over. and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Stretched
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
ORN BASELINE Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

Total debt $162.70M Interest coverage 1.37x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $19.46M Interest coverage 0.79x -42% vs ORN Carries about 1.7x less debt cushion than ORN.

Total debt $1.28B Interest coverage 14.42x +953% vs ORN Carries about 10.5x more debt cushion than ORN.

Total debt $464.86M Interest coverage 4.60x +236% vs ORN Carries about 3.4x more debt cushion than ORN.

Total debt $336.82M Interest coverage 20.90x +1,425% vs ORN Carries about 15.3x more debt cushion than ORN.

What you should know

The case for and against ORN

3 Rewards 0 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 3.2% last year.
  • Returns 2.3% on equity, ahead of 20% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 5/10 years.

Risks

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
117.00x
Forward P/E
20.80x
P/B
2.30x
P/S
0.42x
EV/EBITDA
16.35x
PEG ratio
28.96x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
11.8%
Operating margin
-0.7%
Net margin
0.4%
ROE
2.3%
ROA
1.1%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.99x
Current ratio
1.52x
Quick ratio
1.45x
Total debt
$162.70M
Total cash
$2.53M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$879.91M
Revenue 5Y CAGR
9.1%
EPS TTM
0.08
EPS 5Y CAGR

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$36.43M
Free CF TTM
$-10.80M
FCF margin
-1.2%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date