One-glance verdict
$57.06 our estimate vs market $245.43
Wall Street consensus: $261.14 (357.7% higher than our fair-value estimate)
330% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Fundamentals snapshot
WELL · NYQ · Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Current price
$245.43
52-week range
$181.47 - $255.20
Market cap
$180.05B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $261.14 (357.7% higher than our fair-value estimate)
330% above our estimate, beyond the bull case
Balance sheet
Net debt $18.91B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Welltower Inc. owns and manages apartment buildings specifically for older adults in the US, UK, and Canada, essentially renting out homes and communities designed for seniors. Their main income comes from the rent these properties generate, which is important because steady rent payments (recurring revenue, meaning income that reliably comes in) allow them to continue operating and growing their business.
1. "How the company got here" Welltower Inc. began its journey in 1970 as Health Care Fund, a pioneering real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on healthcare properties. Initially based in Lima, Ohio, the company relocated to Toledo in 1986 after rebranding as Health Care REIT. A significant turning point was the 2013 acquisition of Sunrise Senior Living, which greatly expanded its presence in the senior housing sector. In 2015, the company adopted its current name, Welltower, marking a new chapter in its evolution as a major player in healthcare real estate. 2. "What it actually does" Welltower is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns and manages a large portfolio of healthcare-related properties. Think of it like a landlord, but instead of renting out apartments or offices, Welltower rents out spaces designed for senior living, medical care, and post-acute recovery. They partner with operators who run the day-to-day services in these facilities, and Welltower provides the real estate infrastructure. 3. "Seniors Housing Operating (SHO)" This is Welltower's largest business segment, focusing on properties like independent living, assisted living, and memory care communities. In this segment, Welltower not only owns the real estate but also participates more directly in the operating results, meaning they share in the profits (and potential losses) generated by these communities. This is often done through structures like RIDEA (REIT Investment Diversification and Empowerment Act), which allows REITs to operate businesses. These communities cater to seniors who need various levels of support and services, blending housing with hospitality and care. 4. "Triple-Net (NNN) Leased Properties" In this segment, Welltower acts as a more traditional landlord. They own healthcare properties, such as senior housing or post-acute care facilities, and lease them out to operators. These operators, or tenants, are responsible for paying the rent, as well as all property taxes, insurance, and maintenance costs – hence the term "triple-net." This model provides Welltower with more stable and predictable rental income, as the operating risks are largely borne by the tenant. 5. "Outpatient Medical (OM)" This segment involves properties that house medical services outside of a traditional hospital setting. These are typically medical office buildings and other facilities where doctors and healthcare providers offer outpatient care. Welltower leases these spaces to health systems, physician groups, and other healthcare providers. This business line benefits from the trend of healthcare shifting towards more accessible, community-based services. 6. "What management is betting on now" Welltower's management is focused on strategically growing its portfolio, particularly in private-pay senior housing, which is seen as a high-growth area driven by an aging population. They are also emphasizing operational improvements within their existing properties to increase occupancy (the number of occupied units) and rental rates, thereby boosting profitability. A key part of their strategy involves using advanced data science and technology, including artificial intelligence (AI), to identify the best investment opportunities, manage properties more efficiently, and enhance the experience for both residents and employees. They aim to be the preferred owner and operator in their chosen markets by leveraging their cost of capital advantage and deep industry expertise.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $261.14 (357.7% higher than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $57.06 a share — about 76.8% below today's price of $245.43, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $18.9B. Interest coverage 0.5x.
Welltower Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 0.5 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $21.19B Interest coverage 0.54x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $12.67B Interest coverage 1.40x +157% vs WELL Carries about 2.6x more debt cushion than WELL.
Total debt $4.02B Interest coverage 3.46x +535% vs WELL Carries about 6.4x more debt cushion than WELL.
Total debt $2.44B Interest coverage 2.35x +331% vs WELL Carries about 4.3x more debt cushion than WELL.
Total debt $9.26B Interest coverage 1.05x +93% vs WELL Carries about 1.9x more debt cushion than WELL.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know