One-glance verdict
$79.99 our estimate vs market $57.24
28% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
ANCTF · PNK · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Current price
$57.24
52-week range
$48.03 - $67.06
Market cap
$52.54B
One-glance verdict
28% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $12.25B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Alimentation Couche-Tard operates thousands of Circle K convenience stores and gas stations around the world. The company makes money from selling both fuel and in-store items like snacks and drinks, but the in-store products have much higher profit margins (the percentage of each sale that is actual profit). This business model is effective because the essential need for gas constantly brings customers to its stores, where they are likely to also buy these more profitable convenience goods.
Alimentation Couche-Tard started in 1980 with a single convenience store in Quebec, Canada, founded by Alain Bouchard. The company grew by buying up other small store chains, first in Quebec and then across the rest of Canada. A major turning point came in 2003 when it bought the American chain Circle K, which it then used as its main brand for global expansion. Another key move was the 2012 purchase of Statoil Fuel & Retail, which gave the company a large footprint in Europe. Through a long series of these strategic acquisitions, the company transformed from a local shop into one of the world's largest operators of convenience stores and gas stations.
You've likely seen their stores, which are mainly called Circle K or, in Quebec, Couche-Tard. They are convenience stores that are often attached to gas stations, designed for people on the go. Inside, you can buy everyday items like snacks, drinks, coffee, and tobacco products. Many locations also offer quick meal options, car washes, and lottery tickets. The company's main goal is to provide a quick and easy stop for fuel and convenience items.
This is the company's largest business segment by sales, making up the majority of its total revenue (the total money collected from sales). Most of the company's convenience stores have gas stations where customers can buy fuel for their cars and trucks. While fuel sales bring in a lot of money, the profit margin (the portion of the sale price that is actual profit) is lower than what the company makes on items inside the store. The fuel business is crucial because it drives customer traffic to the stores, creating opportunities to sell higher-profit items.
This part of the business includes everything sold inside the convenience stores, from coffee and snacks to lottery tickets and car washes. While it brings in less total revenue than fuel, it is significantly more profitable for the company. This is because the markup on items like a cup of coffee or a bag of chips is much higher than on a gallon of gas. This segment is a key focus for growth, as the company aims to get each customer who stops for gas to also come inside and buy something.
The company's current strategy is called “Core + More,” which focuses on strengthening its main business while investing in new growth areas. The 'Core' part involves improving the customer experience for its most popular products like fuel, coffee, and snacks. The 'More' part is a bet on expanding its food offerings, aiming to compete more with quick-service restaurants. Management is also investing in technology and data analytics to better understand customer habits and improve the efficiency of its supply chain (the system for getting products to its stores).
Price history
Is it cheap or expensive?
Our most-likely fair value is $79.99 a share — about 39.7% above today's price of $57.24, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $12.3B. Interest coverage 6.4x.
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 6.4 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here.
Total debt $15.45B Interest coverage 6.43x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $2.89B Interest coverage 10.70x +66% vs ANCTF Carries about 1.7x more debt cushion than ANCTF.
Total debt $2.76B Interest coverage 6.67x +4% vs ANCTF Has roughly the same debt cushion as ANCTF.
Total debt $24.87B Interest coverage 8.55x +33% vs ANCTF Carries about 1.3x more debt cushion than ANCTF.
Total debt $34.29B Interest coverage 4.08x -36% vs ANCTF Carries about 1.6x less debt cushion than ANCTF.
Total debt $2.33B Interest coverage 1.10x -83% vs ANCTF Carries about 5.8x less debt cushion than ANCTF.
What you should know
The numbers
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What you should know