One-glance verdict
$228.20 our estimate vs market $124.31
Wall Street consensus: $138.93 (-39.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)
46% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
DG · NYQ · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Current price
$124.31
52-week range
$95.11 - $158.23
Market cap
$27.42B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $138.93 (-39.1% lower than our fair-value estimate)
46% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $14.18B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
Dollar General is a discount store that sells everyday necessities like groceries, cleaning supplies, and basic clothing at low prices across the United States. The company makes most of its money from these consumable products (things people use up and have to buy again), which creates a steady stream of sales because customers keep coming back, especially when they're trying to save money.
Dollar General began in 1939 as a family-owned wholesale business in Kentucky started by J.L. Turner and his son, Cal. They opened the first Dollar General store in 1955 with a simple concept: no item would cost more than one dollar. This idea was a huge success, and the company grew rapidly, eventually becoming a publicly traded company (a company that sells shares of ownership to the public) in 1968. Over the decades, it has grown into one of the largest discount retailers in the U.S., with a particular focus on serving small towns and rural communities.
Dollar General is a neighborhood convenience store that sells a wide variety of everyday items at low prices. You can find everything from paper towels, cleaning supplies, and packaged foods to health and beauty products, pet supplies, and seasonal decorations. The stores are designed to be small and easy to shop in, offering a mix of well-known national brands and their own private-label products, which are often cheaper alternatives. The main goal is to provide a quick and affordable shopping trip for customers who need to pick up essential household goods without going to a large supermarket.
This is by far the largest part of Dollar General's business, making up about 80% of its sales. This segment includes all the essential items that people use up and buy regularly, like paper towels, laundry detergent, and trash bags. It also covers packaged foods like cereal and canned soup, perishable items like milk and eggs, snacks, drinks, and personal care products like shampoo and soap. Because these are necessities, this part of the business provides a steady and reliable stream of revenue (money the company earns from sales).
This segment includes items that are popular during specific times of the year, and it accounts for about 10% of the company's sales. Think of things like holiday decorations, toys for Christmas, gardening supplies in the spring, and back-to-school items in the late summer. This category helps attract shoppers who are looking for festive or timely items at a discount. While smaller than the consumables business, these products often have higher profit margins (the amount of profit made on each sale).
Making up a smaller slice of the business, this category includes items for around the house. This includes kitchen supplies like pots and pans, small appliances, light bulbs, and storage containers. You can also find home decor items like picture frames and candles, as well as bedding and bath towels. These products help customers furnish and maintain their homes without spending a lot of money.
This is the smallest of Dollar General's business segments. It includes basic clothing for the whole family, such as socks, underwear, t-shirts, and casual wear for adults and children. The focus is on providing affordable everyday essentials rather than high-fashion items. While it's not a major driver of sales, it adds to the store's convenience by allowing customers to pick up basic clothing items along with their other household needs.
The company is focused on making its stores even more essential to its customers, especially in rural areas. A major priority is expanding its selection of fresh and frozen foods through an initiative called DG Fresh, which helps the company offer more grocery options like milk, eggs, and produce. They are also remodeling many stores to make them easier to shop and are expanding their health and wellness offerings. Additionally, Dollar General is investing in digital tools, like its mobile app and delivery services, to provide customers with more ways to shop conveniently.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $138.93 (-39.1% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $228.20 a share — about 83.6% above today's price of $124.31, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $14.2B. Interest coverage 9.6x.
Dollar General Corporation's profit covers its interest bill about 9.6 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.
Total debt $15.77B Interest coverage 9.56x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $5.91B Interest coverage 11.89x +24% vs DG Carries about 1.2x more debt cushion than DG.
Total debt $2.04B Interest coverage 34.71x +263% vs DG Carries about 3.6x more debt cushion than DG.
Total debt $725.65M Interest coverage 17.25x +81% vs DG Carries about 1.8x more debt cushion than DG.
What you should know
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What you should know