One-glance verdict
$492.72 our estimate vs market $247.60
Wall Street consensus: $242.86 (-50.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)
50% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
HUBS · NYQ · Technology · Software - Application
Current price
$247.60
52-week range
$169.63 - $525.51
Market cap
$12.67B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $242.86 (-50.7% lower than our fair-value estimate)
50% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net cash $1.10B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
HubSpot sells an all-in-one software toolkit that helps other businesses attract new customers and manage their relationships, from sending marketing emails to tracking sales. The company makes most of its money from selling monthly or yearly subscriptions to this platform, which creates a steady stream of recurring revenue (predictable income that comes in at regular intervals). This is important because HubSpot provides a central, easy-to-use system that other companies rely on for their essential customer-facing operations.
HubSpot was founded in 2006 by two MIT graduate students who saw that the way people shop was changing. Instead of being interrupted by traditional advertising, customers were now researching products and services online. They created HubSpot to help businesses, especially smaller ones, attract customers through what they termed "inbound marketing" – creating helpful content that draws people in. A key moment was the launch of their free Customer Relationship Management (CRM) tool in 2014, which attracted a large user base and became a gateway to their paid products.
HubSpot provides a platform of software tools designed to help businesses attract, engage, and delight customers. Think of it as a central hub for a company's marketing, sales, and customer service activities. For example, a business can use HubSpot to build its website, send marketing emails, manage its sales pipeline (the process of tracking potential customers), and handle customer support questions, all in one place. The core of their offering is a free CRM (Customer Relationship Management) software that organizes all of a company's contacts and their interactions with the business.
This is HubSpot's main way of making money, accounting for nearly all of its revenue. Businesses pay a recurring fee, usually monthly or annually, to access more advanced features of HubSpot's software platform. The company offers different 'Hubs' tailored to specific business needs, such as Marketing Hub, Sales Hub, and Service Hub. Companies often start with the free tools and then upgrade to paid subscriptions as they grow and need more powerful capabilities, which is a key part of HubSpot's business strategy.
This is a much smaller part of HubSpot's business, making up only a small fraction of its total revenue. This segment includes services like helping new customers get set up on the platform, providing specialized training, and offering consulting to help businesses get the most out of the software. While not a major money-maker on its own, these services are important for ensuring customers are successful with the software, which in turn encourages them to continue their subscriptions.
HubSpot is heavily focused on integrating Artificial Intelligence (AI) across its entire platform to automate tasks and provide smarter insights for its users. They are developing AI-powered 'agents' to assist with everything from marketing and sales to customer service. The company is also focused on moving 'up-market' to attract larger business customers, not just the small and mid-sized companies it traditionally served. Another key priority is to get customers to adopt multiple 'Hubs', making the platform more essential to their entire operation and increasing the revenue (the total amount of money a company brings in from its business activities) from each customer.
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $242.86 (-50.7% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $492.72 a share — about 99.0% above today's price of $247.60, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net cash $1.1B - more cash than debt. Interest coverage 13.0x.
HubSpot, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 13.0 times over. and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $236.91M Interest coverage 13.03x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $7.08B Interest coverage 33.10x +154% vs HUBS Carries about 2.5x more debt cushion than HUBS.
Total debt $8.34B Interest coverage 19.99x +53% vs HUBS Carries about 1.5x more debt cushion than HUBS.
Total debt $8.45B Interest coverage 79.30x +509% vs HUBS Carries about 6.1x more debt cushion than HUBS.
Total debt $1.23B Interest coverage 0.21x -98% vs HUBS Carries about 62.2x less debt cushion than HUBS.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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Cash flow
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Debt comparison
What you should know