One-glance verdict
$170.82 our estimate vs market $82.36
Wall Street consensus: $102.00 (-40.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
52% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
JBSS · NMS · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Current price
$82.36
52-week range
$59.07 - $92.08
Market cap
$962.79M
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $102.00 (-40.3% lower than our fair-value estimate)
52% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $102.21M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
John B. Sanfilippo & Son is a food company that processes and sells nuts, snack bars, and peanut butter under its own brands like Fisher and Orchard Valley Harvest. The company makes most of its money selling to large grocery chains, both under its own brand names and as private label products (when a store, like Costco, puts its own brand name on a product made by another company). This strategy of selling to both brand-loyal shoppers and large retailers helps create steady and reliable demand for its products.
John B. Sanfilippo & Son began in 1922 when Gaspare Sanfilippo and his son John started a small family business shelling pecans by hand in a Chicago storefront. [5, 14] For decades, they supplied pecans to candy makers and distributors, gradually automating and expanding. [3, 9] A key turning point came in 1995 with the purchase of the Fisher nuts brand, which transformed the company from a behind-the-scenes processor into a nationally recognized name. [5, 9] Over the years, it went public on the stock market to fund growth and acquired other brands like Orchard Valley Harvest and Squirrel Brand to broaden its snack offerings. [5, 9]
At its core, the company processes and packages nuts like almonds, peanuts, and walnuts, selling them in various forms from raw and roasted to seasoned snack mixes. [6, 11] You would recognize their products in the grocery store under brand names like Fisher for baking and snacking nuts, Orchard Valley Harvest for trail mixes, and Squirrel Brand for premium nuts. [6] Beyond nuts, the company also makes and sells other snacks, including peanut butter, fruit and nut bars, and even cheese-based snacks. [6, 10] A large part of their business also involves packaging products for other companies to sell under their own store brands, often called 'private brands'. [2]
This is the largest and most visible part of the company, where it sells finished products directly to stores where everyday people shop. [4] This includes big grocery chains, mass merchandisers like Target or Walmart, and drug stores. [4] When you buy a can of Fisher peanuts or a bag of Orchard Valley Harvest trail mix, you are buying from this business segment. This segment also supplies the store-brand nuts and snacks that retailers sell under their own labels, like a grocery store's house brand. [2]
This part of the business sells nuts and nut-based products to other food companies to use as ingredients in their own goods. [4] Think of a large bakery that needs chopped almonds for its pastries, an ice cream company that needs pecans for its butter pecan flavor, or a restaurant chain that uses nuts in its salads and dishes. [4] These customers buy in bulk from Sanfilippo & Son to use in the foods they prepare and sell to their own customers. [4]
In this business, the company acts as a hired factory for other food manufacturers. [4] A company with a recipe for a new snack bar or trail mix might hire Sanfilippo & Son to produce and package the product for them under their brand name. [20] This allows other companies to sell products without having to own and operate their own nut-processing factories. This segment has grown with the addition of new customers and capabilities for making products like granola. [22]
The company's main focus is to grow its own brands, like Fisher and Orchard Valley Harvest, rather than just processing nuts for others. [2] Selling branded products generally earns a higher margin (the percentage of profit made on a sale) than selling basic ingredients. [2] They are also investing heavily in expanding their snack bar production, seeing it as a key area for future growth beyond traditional nuts. [20] Finally, management is always working to improve its manufacturing efficiency and carefully manage its purchasing of raw nuts, as the prices of these commodities (raw materials that can be bought and sold) can change unpredictably with weather and crop yields. [2]
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $102.00 (-40.3% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $170.82 a share — about 107.4% above today's price of $82.36, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $102.2M. Interest coverage 23.3x.
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 23.3 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $103.50M Interest coverage 23.33x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $1.04B Interest coverage 0.25x -99% vs JBSS Carries about 94.4x less debt cushion than JBSS.
Total debt $448.46M Interest coverage 9.40x -60% vs JBSS Carries about 2.5x less debt cushion than JBSS.
Total debt $192.53M Interest coverage 67.00x +187% vs JBSS Carries about 2.9x more debt cushion than JBSS.
Total debt $1.47B Interest coverage 4.25x -82% vs JBSS Carries about 5.5x less debt cushion than JBSS.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
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What you should know