Knowstox

Fundamentals snapshot

RXO, Inc.

RXO · NYQ · Industrials · Trucking

Current price

$27.92

52-week range

$10.43 - $29.90

Market cap

$4.61B

One-glance verdict

Overvalued

$5.87 our estimate vs market $27.92

Wall Street consensus: $29.83 (408.4% higher than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Distressed

-0.20x Concerning

Net debt $702.00M. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

RXO, Inc.

RXO is a company that helps move goods for other businesses using trucks, ships, and planes. Their main money comes from charging companies for these shipping services. This is important because it means they are a key part of how products get from where they are made to where people buy them, often called the supply chain (the network of businesses involved in getting a product to the customer).

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q4 $-19.00M FY2025 Q1 $-17.00M FY2025 Q2 $9.00M FY2025 Q3 $9.00M FY2025 Q4 $-9.00M FY2026 Q1 $-24.00M FY2026 Q2 $-52.00M FY2026 Q3 $12.00M
Revenue $1.87B
Net income $3.00M
Diluted EPS 0.02
Operating cash flow $25.00M
Free cash flow $12.00M
Revenue $1.77B
Net income $-9.00M
Diluted EPS -0.05
Operating cash flow $-40.00M
Free cash flow $-52.00M
Revenue $1.43B
Net income $-36.00M
Diluted EPS -0.21
Operating cash flow $-7.00M
Free cash flow $-24.00M
Revenue $1.47B
Net income $-46.00M
Diluted EPS -0.28
Operating cash flow $7.00M
Free cash flow $-9.00M
Revenue $1.42B
Net income $-14.00M
Diluted EPS -0.08
Operating cash flow $23.00M
Free cash flow $9.00M
Revenue $1.42B
Net income $-9.00M
Diluted EPS -0.05
Operating cash flow $23.00M
Free cash flow $9.00M
Revenue $1.43B
Net income $-31.00M
Diluted EPS -0.18
Operating cash flow $-2.00M
Free cash flow $-17.00M
Revenue $1.67B
Net income $-25.00M
Diluted EPS -0.17
Operating cash flow $-7.00M
Free cash flow $-19.00M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $5.87 vs current price $27.92

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $29.83 (408.4% higher than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $5.87 a share — about 79.0% below today's price of $27.92, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).

overvalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 8.0% · Discount 12.0% · Terminal 2.5%

$5.87

Bear

Growth 3.0% · Discount 12.0% · Terminal 2.5%

$3.53

Bull

Growth 15.0% · Discount 12.0% · Terminal 2.5%

$10.30

Is it drowning in debt?

Distressed

Net debt $702.0M. Interest coverage -0.2x.

Net debt $702.00M
Interest coverage -0.20x

RXO, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 0.0 times over. which is weaker than most peers shown here.

Distressed
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
RXO BASELINE RXO, Inc.

Total debt $727.00M Interest coverage -0.20x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $2.15B Interest coverage 10.96x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RXO does not.

Total debt $151.80M Interest coverage 46.98x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RXO does not.

Total debt $498.76M Interest coverage 9.61x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RXO does not.

Total debt $2.61B Interest coverage 1.94x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RXO does not.

Total debt $1.45B Interest coverage 11.50x This peer still has a real interest-payment cushion, while RXO does not.

What you should know

The case for and against RXO

2 Rewards 3 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 13.9% last year.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 3/10 years.

Risks

  • Net debt grew 25.8% over 3 years.
  • Return on equity was -5.7% last year — the company lost money on shareholders' equity.
  • Operating margin compressed from 4.6% to 1.3% over 3 years.

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
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Forward P/E
42.20x
P/B
3.04x
P/S
0.70x
EV/EBITDA
45.75x
PEG ratio
172.13x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
14.5%
Operating margin
1.3%
Net margin
-1.3%
ROE
-5.7%
ROA
0.1%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
0.48x
Current ratio
1.28x
Quick ratio
1.20x
Total debt
$727.00M
Total cash
$25.00M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$6.54B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
5.2%
EPS TTM
-0.52
EPS 5Y CAGR
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Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$-15.00M
Free CF TTM
$-8.00M
FCF margin
-0.1%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
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