One-glance verdict
$531.63 our estimate vs market $175.50
Wall Street consensus: $231.05 (-56.5% lower than our fair-value estimate)
67% below our estimate, below the bear case
Fundamentals snapshot
TKO · NYQ · Communication Services · Entertainment
Current price
$175.50
52-week range
$170.92 - $226.94
Market cap
$33.22B
One-glance verdict
Wall Street consensus: $231.05 (-56.5% lower than our fair-value estimate)
67% below our estimate, below the bear case
Balance sheet
Net debt $4.36B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.
What stands out
What this company does
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a sports and entertainment company that owns the UFC and WWE, meaning they make money from things like TV rights (what networks pay to show their wrestling and fighting events), live event tickets, merchandise sales, and advertising partnerships. Their financial performance, like how much profit they keep after costs (their margins), is important because it shows how well they are managing their popular entertainment brands. This company is relatively new, formed in 2023, and is part of a larger entertainment group.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. was formed in September 2023 through the combination of two major sports and entertainment entities: the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) and World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) [2, 4]. The UFC, founded in 1993, was acquired by Endeavor (formerly WME-IMG) in 2016 [1]. WWE's history traces back to 1953, with its modern expansion accelerating in the 1980s [1, 2]. The creation of TKO brought these two distinct, yet complementary, live-event intellectual property franchises under one corporate umbrella, aiming to leverage scale benefits while maintaining their individual brand identities [1]. Endeavor, a talent and media conglomerate, holds a majority stake in TKO [2, 4].
TKO Group Holdings operates as a sports and entertainment company that owns and manages valuable intellectual property related to live events [7, 12]. The company's core strategy is to monetize these properties through various channels, including media rights, sponsorship, live event ticket sales, premium experiences, licensing, and consumer products [1, 6]. TKO is distinct from a typical media network because it controls the underlying brands and produces year-round content, benefiting from loyal global fan bases [1].
The UFC segment is centered around mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion [2, 4]. It generates revenue through the distribution of its programming content, ticket sales for live events, and site fees from international events [1, 7]. Additionally, the UFC benefits from partnerships, marketing initiatives, and licensing agreements for UFC-branded consumer products [1]. The segment also includes official training facilities known as Performance Institutes and franchised UFC Gyms [2].
The WWE segment focuses on sports entertainment, characterized by serialized weekly programming, creative storytelling, and premium live events [1, 2]. Revenue is primarily derived from media rights fees for its programming content and ticket sales for its global live events [1, 3]. This segment also engages in partnerships, marketing, and licensing of WWE-branded consumer products [1, 3].
The IMG segment specializes in sports representation, event management, and media services [2, 8]. It handles media rights management and sales, multi-channel content production and distribution, brand partnerships, strategic consulting, and digital services [1, 8]. IMG also offers hospitality services, including ticketing, curated guest experiences, live event production, and travel management [1]. This segment is a leading global sports marketing agency that partners with numerous sports rights holders [8].
TKO's current strategic priorities include integrating the UFC and WWE businesses to capture synergies while preserving their distinct brand identities [1]. Management is focused on expanding the value of media rights deals, a significant revenue stream for the company [1, 6]. They are also working to increase monetization from sponsorships and site fees for live events [1]. Furthermore, TKO aims to improve its overall profitability (margins) by centralizing certain corporate functions and shared services [1].
Price history
Earnings history
Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.
Is it cheap or expensive?
Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $231.05 (-56.5% lower than our fair-value estimate).
Our most-likely fair value is $531.63 a share — about 202.9% above today's price of $175.50, so the stock currently looks cheap (undervalued).
Is it drowning in debt?
Net debt $4.4B. Interest coverage 4.1x.
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 4.1 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.
Total debt $4.95B Interest coverage 4.12x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.
Total debt $11.28B Interest coverage 3.90x -5% vs TKO Has roughly the same debt cushion as TKO.
Total debt $5.16B Interest coverage 2.43x -41% vs TKO Carries about 1.7x less debt cushion than TKO.
Total debt $1.16B Interest coverage 1.47x -64% vs TKO Carries about 2.8x less debt cushion than TKO.
Total debt $32.02B Interest coverage 0.63x -85% vs TKO Carries about 6.6x less debt cushion than TKO.
Total debt $16.65B Interest coverage 17.16x +317% vs TKO Carries about 4.2x more debt cushion than TKO.
What you should know
The numbers
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Valuation
Profitability
Health
Growth
Cash flow
Dividend
Metric explainer
Debt comparison
What you should know