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Fundamentals snapshot

Ameresco, Inc.

AMRC · NYQ · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Current price

$20.31

52-week range

$18.27 - $40.73

Market cap

$1.08B

One-glance verdict

Overvalued

$-22.43 our estimate vs market $20.31

Wall Street consensus: $41.40 (-284.6% lower than our fair-value estimate)

Balance sheet

Distressed

1.46x Concerning

Net debt $2.43B. Interest coverage shows how many times profit covers the interest bill.

What this company does

Ameresco, Inc.

Ameresco helps businesses and governments save energy and money by upgrading their facilities with things like better heating and cooling systems, or by installing solar panels. The money mainly comes from building these projects for customers, and it matters because it shows how much demand there is for cleaner and more efficient ways to use energy. Ameresco also makes money by selling the renewable energy it produces, like electricity from solar farms, and these sales contribute to its overall profit picture.

Price history

How the share price has moved

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Earnings history

Last 8 quarters — what happened

Click any quarter to read the call summary and what the numbers say.

Free cash flow by quarter (oldest to newest)
FY2024 Q3 $24.10M FY2024 Q4 $17.14M FY2025 Q1 $-28.73M FY2025 Q2 $-27.02M FY2025 Q3 $17.36M FY2026 Q1 $34.85M FY2026 Q2 $-108.07M
Revenue $515.46M
Net income $9.72M
Diluted EPS 0.18
Operating cash flow $-107.21M
Free cash flow $-108.07M
Revenue $401.46M
Net income $-18.28M
Diluted EPS -0.35
Operating cash flow $35.40M
Free cash flow $34.85M
Revenue $525.99M
Net income $18.53M
Diluted EPS 0.35
Operating cash flow $17.71M
Free cash flow $17.36M
Revenue $472.28M
Net income $12.86M
Diluted EPS 0.24
Operating cash flow $-26.87M
Free cash flow $-27.02M
Revenue $352.83M
Net income $-5.48M
Diluted EPS -0.10
Operating cash flow $-28.30M
Free cash flow $-28.73M
Revenue $532.67M
Net income $37.09M
Diluted EPS 0.71
Operating cash flow $18.38M
Free cash flow $17.14M
Revenue $500.87M
Net income $17.60M
Diluted EPS 0.33
Operating cash flow $25.09M
Free cash flow $24.10M

Is it cheap or expensive?

Fair value $-22.43 vs current price $20.31

Wall Street consensus is the average analyst price target: $41.40 (-284.6% lower than our fair-value estimate).

Our most-likely fair value is $-22.43 a share — about 210.4% below today's price of $20.31, so the stock currently looks expensive (overvalued).

overvalued

We estimate the cash this business should generate over the next 10 years and beyond, then convert it to today's money for a fair value per share, in its trading currency. Cautious, middle and optimistic growth cases give a range. Not for banks/insurers.

Base

Growth 9.0% · Discount 12.7% · Terminal 3.0%

$-22.43

Bear

Growth 4.0% · Discount 12.7% · Terminal 3.0%

$-33.17

Bull

Growth 15.0% · Discount 12.7% · Terminal 3.0%

$-5.44

Is it drowning in debt?

Distressed

Net debt $2.4B. Interest coverage 1.5x.

Net debt $2.43B
Interest coverage 1.46x

Ameresco, Inc.'s profit covers its interest bill about 1.5 times over. which is stronger than most peers shown here and 1 peers sit below 1x, which is the danger zone where profit does not fully cover the interest bill.

Distressed
Worse cushion Baseline Better cushion
AMRC BASELINE Ameresco, Inc.

Total debt $2.57B Interest coverage 1.46x This is the baseline the peer rows are being compared against.

Total debt $89.19M Interest coverage 7.68x +425% vs AMRC Carries about 5.3x more debt cushion than AMRC.

Total debt $1.28B Interest coverage 14.42x +886% vs AMRC Carries about 9.9x more debt cushion than AMRC.

Total debt $947.21M Interest coverage 1.18x -19% vs AMRC Carries about 1.2x less debt cushion than AMRC.

Total debt $281.11M Interest coverage 28.79x +1,869% vs AMRC Carries about 19.7x more debt cushion than AMRC.

Total debt $19.46M Interest coverage 0.79x -46% vs AMRC Carries about 1.9x less debt cushion than AMRC.

What you should know

The case for and against AMRC

3 Rewards 2 Risks

Rewards

  • Revenue grew 8.2% last year.
  • Returns 4.3% on equity, ahead of 33% of its peers.
  • Free cash flow was positive in 1/10 years.

Risks

  • Net debt grew 127.9% over 3 years.
  • Stock trades 31.7% above its 5-year average P/E.

The numbers

All the key metrics, grouped by purpose

Tap any ? icon to learn what it means.

Valuation

How expensive the stock looks

P/E (TTM)
38.32x
Forward P/E
12.31x
P/B
0.87x
P/S
0.53x
EV/EBITDA
14.30x
PEG ratio
1.17x

Profitability

How much profit each dollar creates

Gross margin
16.1%
Operating margin
8.5%
Net margin
1.4%
ROE
4.3%
ROA
1.9%

Health

Liquidity and balance-sheet strength

Debt / equity
1.90x
Current ratio
1.67x
Quick ratio
1.37x
Total debt
$2.57B
Total cash
$138.33M

Growth

How the business has been compounding

Revenue TTM
$1.92B
Revenue 5Y CAGR
14.4%
EPS TTM
0.53
EPS 5Y CAGR
-22.5%

Cash flow

How much cash the business throws off

Operating CF TTM
$-80.97M
Free CF TTM
$113.31M
FCF margin
5.9%

Dividend

Shareholder payout

Yield
0.0%
Payout ratio
0.0%
Last ex-div date
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